Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 110.459381 127.441549 147.538627 173.465445 206.620765 248.466811 3.067661e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 87.476397 107.712394 134.212941 172.764831 229.896049 316.166060 4.675989e+02
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 75.854135 97.153028 126.861816 173.654102 250.659059 384.378418 6.723602e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 65.984693 86.721933 116.892296 167.109346 256.339048 429.263102 8.748461e+02
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 61.723499 83.360194 116.293708 174.571955 287.780381 539.305673 1.373576e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 55.758706 76.555689 109.100839 168.964035 292.283002 593.900202 1.818210e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 52.137470 72.850275 106.245004 170.345988 311.543834 699.478662 2.783100e+03
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 48.401270 68.518298 101.687899 167.476574 320.314410 783.502990 4.063323e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 47.661953 68.903110 105.227278 181.318858 375.218172 1081.736307 1.090294e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 47.921107 70.934394 111.964577 203.653081 466.010743 1707.452367 1.089543e+05
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 45.357528 67.839337 108.670783 202.645165 486.877102 2033.746986 4.064576e+06
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 43.103501 65.083865 105.692903 201.778229 508.417504 2440.716656 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 40.304246 61.410128 101.047364 197.393199 521.859845 2921.372593 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 38.090165 58.646484 97.994554 196.735284 551.897903 3816.351165 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 36.288347 56.454926 95.799943 197.791537 591.107779 5291.954179 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 33.964077 53.094955 90.754174 189.892919 585.448603 6043.535691 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.152829 52.513377 91.569645 198.903383 671.480627 11349.846239 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 31.297167 49.783073 87.370023 192.128897 669.046961 13865.097971 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 30.176093 48.393485 86.008388 193.796488 718.962567 24530.943338 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 28.824092 46.455443 83.204045 190.335338 735.419902 37573.584769 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 28.767094 47.068034 86.325266 207.079853 915.564065 660376.051647 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 29.140628 48.576593 91.799093 234.343792 1259.543443 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 28.091294 47.068687 89.697053 233.107000 1331.206277 NaN NaN